{"id":296018,"date":"2025-10-27T23:59:32","date_gmt":"2025-10-28T06:59:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/?p=296018"},"modified":"2025-10-27T19:50:39","modified_gmt":"2025-10-28T02:50:39","slug":"tesla-analyst-near-zero-chance-ceo-elon-musk-trillion-comp-package-rejected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-analyst-near-zero-chance-ceo-elon-musk-trillion-comp-package-rejected\/","title":{"rendered":"Tesla analyst: &#8216;near zero chance&#8217; Elon Musk&#8217;s $1T comp package is rejected"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A Tesla analyst says there is &#8220;zero chance&#8221; that CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s new compensation package is rejected, a testament to the loyalty and belief many shareholders and investors have in the frontman.<\/p>\n<p>Tesla investors will vote on November 6 at the annual Shareholder Meeting t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/elon-musk-new-pay-plan-trillionaire-tesla-tsla-8-5-trillion-valuation\/\">o approve a new compensation package for Musk<\/a>, revealed by the company&#8217;s Board of Directors earlier this month.<\/p>\n<p>The package, if approved, would give Musk the opportunity to earn $1 trillion in stock, an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/live-blog-tesla-tsla-q3-2025-earnings-call\/\">ownership concentration of over 27 percent (a major request of Musk&#8217;s)<\/a>, and a solidified future at the company.<\/p>\n<p>The Tesla Community on X, the social media platform Musk bought in 2023, is overwhelmingly in favor of the pay package, though a handful of skeptics remain.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the big pulls of this vote are held by proxy firms and other large-scale investors. Two of them, Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) and Glass Lewis, said they would be voting against Musk&#8217;s proposed compensation plan.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"fgQWoZdozz\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-1-trillion-pay-package-hits-first-adversity-iss\/\">Tesla CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s $1 trillion pay package hits first adversity from proxy firm<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Tesla CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s $1 trillion pay package hits first adversity from proxy firm&#8221; &#8212; TESLARATI\" src=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-1-trillion-pay-package-hits-first-adversity-iss\/embed\/#?secret=f8ht63dmhQ#?secret=fgQWoZdozz\" data-secret=\"fgQWoZdozz\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Today, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-gains-massive-vote-of-confidence-on-compensation-plan-elon-musk\/\">State Board of Administration of Florida (SBA)<\/a> said it would vote in favor of Musk&#8217;s newly-proposed pay day, making it the first large-scale shareholder to announce it would support the CEO&#8217;s pay.<\/p>\n<p>One analyst said that Musk&#8217;s payday is inevitable. Gary Black of the Future Fund said today there is a &#8220;near-zero chance&#8221; that shareholders will allow Musk&#8217;s pay package to be rejected:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em>&#8220;<span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">There is a near-zero chance that <\/span><span class=\"r-18u37iz\">$TSLA<\/span><span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"> shareholders will vote down Elon\u2019s new proposed comp plan at the Nov 6 shareholders\u2019 meeting.&#8221;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>He added an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-tsla-executes-must-with-musk-as-race-to-ai-supremacy-wages-on-wedbush\/\">alternative perspective from Wedbush&#8217;s Dan Ives<\/a>, who said that he had a better chance of starting for the New York Yankees than the comp package not being approved.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">There is a near zero chance that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24TSLA&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$TSLA<\/a> shareholders will vote down Elon\u2019s new proposed comp plan at the Nov 6 shareholders\u2019 meeting. As Wedbush analyst Dan Ives (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DivesTech?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@divestech<\/a>) colorfully put it in a Yahoo Finance interview on October 23rd: &#8220;I have a better chance of starting for\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Gary Black (@garyblack00) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/garyblack00\/status\/1982901779504476671?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 27, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Black&#8217;s the Future Fund <a href=\"https:\/\/www.teslarati.com\/tesla-tsla-analyst-reveals-firm-has-sold-its-shares-disconnected-from-underlying-fundamentals\/\">sold its Tesla holdings earlier this year<\/a>. He explained that the firm believed the company&#8217;s valuation was too disconnected from fundamentals, citing the P\/E ratio of 188x and declining earnings estimates.<\/p>\n<p>The firm maintained its $310 price target, and shares were trading at $356.90 that day.<\/p>\n<p>Shares closed at $452.42 today.<\/p>\n<p>The latest predictions from betting platform\u00a0<em>Kalshi<\/em> have shown Musk&#8217;s comp package has a 94 percent chance of being approved:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"zxx\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uZ67o1Ft1y\">https:\/\/t.co\/uZ67o1Ft1y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Kalshi (@Kalshi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Kalshi\/status\/1980335583005421801?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;There is a near-zero chance that $TSLA shareholders will vote down Elon\u2019s new proposed comp plan at the Nov 6 shareholders\u2019 meeting.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35827,"featured_media":222636,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4489,343,1,4490],"tags":[544,9,571,4550,153,4584,4642],"class_list":["post-296018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elon-musk","category-investors-corner","category-news","category-tesla","tag-tsla","tag-elon-musk","tag-featured","tag-gary-black","tag-tesla","tag-tesla-pay-package","tag-the-future-fund"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tesla analyst: &#039;near zero chance&#039; 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